Registry

Module Specifications

Current Academic Year 2012 - 2013
Please note that this information is subject to change.

Module Title Derivatives and Insurance for Climate Change
Module Code EF5114
School DCUBS
Online Module Resources

NFQ level 9 Credit Rating 5
Pre-requisite None
Co-requisite None
Compatibles None
Incompatibles None
Description
This module will provide students with a comprehensive treatment of the derivatives and insurance markets for climate change. The module first describes how weather derivatives are used in managing the physical impact of climatic change. Key weather derivative contracts are discussed, covering the variety of approaches to valuation, including burn analysis, index modelling and daily modelling. Risk management issues in weather markets are addressed, with a final discussion on meteorological data. Focus in then turned to catastrophe risk from natural disasters linked to climate change, with a detailed outline of the associated insurance and derivatives markets. Students are first introduced to catastrophe insurance and reinsurance and then, building on this exposure, catastrophe bonds, contingent capital and catastrophe derivatives are covered. The module will afford the opportunity to study the growing academic and industry literature. Carbon markets fall outside the scope of this module, being comprehensively treated in the Carbon Markets module.

Learning Outcomes
1. Understand the role of the weather derivatives markets in dealing with the risks surrounding climate change and its physical and economic impact.
2. Value weather derivatives using the alternative approaches available, while appreciating the nuances of using meteorological data in valuation exercises
3. Use relevant extensions of standard arbitrage theory for valuing and hedging weather derivatives and related risk management applications.
4. Understand the modelling of catastrophe risk and the role of the insurance and reinsurance markets in managing this risk.
5. Distinguish between catastrophe bonds, contingent capital and catastrophe derivatives as market tools for managing catastrophe risk.



Workload Full-time hours per semester
Type Hours Description
Lecture24The lecturer will present the essential ideas and core concepts pointing students towards resources where they can get further information.
Lecturer-supervised learning (contact)12Exercises involving review of practical empirical work.
Independent learning44Preparation for, and reading after lectures.
On-line learning12Moodle: weekly exercises and quizzes.
Assignment33Individual project on a topic approved by the Lecturer
Total Workload: 125

All module information is indicative and subject to change. For further information,students are advised to refer to the University's Marks and Standards and Programme Specific Regulations at: http://www.dcu.ie/registry/examinations/index.shtml

Indicative Content and Learning Activities
Learning Activities.
Each topic will be first introduced in a formal lecture setting. Students will be introduced to the growing academic and industry literature on the derivatives and insurance markets for climate change. The assignment will provide students the opportunity to research in depth the workings of these markets..

Weather Derivative Valuation.
Burn analysis; valuation using burn analysis; index modelling; valuation using index modelling; statistical modelling methods; modelling the index distribution; parametric distributions; estimating pay-offs; sensitivity analysis and the greeks; swap pricing; valuation using daily modelling; modelling daily temperatures..

Hedging and Risk Management in Weather Markets.
Standard arbitrage theory; extensions to the standard arbitrage theory for weather derivatives; weather swap price process; pricing dual-trigger contracts; introduction to risk management; marking positions; expiry risk; actuarial value-at-risk; liquidation value-at-risk; credit risk; liquidity risk..

Catastrophe Insurance and Reinsurance.
Introduction to insurance; catastrophe insurance; introduction to reinsurance; catastrophe reinsurance; market cycles; internal risk management; challenges in catastrophe insurance markets; pricing difficulties; earnings and capital volatility; concentrations; limits to insurable/uninsurable risks..

Catastrophe Bonds and Derivates.
Overview of securitisation; catastrophe bonds; standard structures; innovations; market focus and direction; contingent capital; contingent debt; contingent equity; structural flaws; regulatory differences. Exchange-traded catastrophe derivatives; over-the-counter (OTC) catastrophe derivatives; catastrophe reinsurance swaps; pure catastrophe swaps; synthetic OTC derivatives; index construction and basis risk; contract transparency issues; one-way markets; pricing difficulties; regulatory barriers..

Assessment Breakdown
Continuous Assessment50% Examination Weight50%
Course Work Breakdown
TypeDescription% of totalAssessment Date
In Class TestWritten examination5%Week 3
AssignmentIndividual project15%Week 4
In Class TestWritten examination5%Week 7
Group project Group project20%Week 8
In Class TestWritten examination5%Week 10
Reassessment Requirement
Resit arrangements are explained by the following categories;
1 = A resit is available for all components of the module
2 = No resit is available for 100% continuous assessment module
3 = No resit is available for the continuous assessment component
This module is category 1
Indicative Reading List
  • S. Jewson, A. Brix, C. Ziehmann: 2005, Weather Derivative Valuation: The Meteorological, Statistical, Financial and Mathematical Foundations, Cambridge University Press,
  • E. Banks: 2005, Catastrophic Risk: Analysis and Management, Wiley,
  • R. S. Dischel: 2002, Climate Risk and the Weather Market: Financial Risk Management with Weather Hedges, Risk Books,
  • E. N. Gurenko: 2006, Climate Change and Insurance: Disaster Risk Financing in Developing Countries, Earthscan,
  • J. Hull: 2011, Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, Prentice Hall,
Other Resources
3962, Journal, 0, Energy Economics, 3963, Journal, 0, The Energy Journal, 3964, Journal, 0, The Journal of Energy Markets, 3965, Journal, 0, Energy Policy, 3966, Journal, 0, Ecological Economics, 3967, Journal, 0, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 3968, Journal, 0, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 3969, Journal, 0, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics,
Array
Programme or List of Programmes
MFCMMSc in Finance
MSEFMSc in Sustainable Energy Finance
Timetable this semester: Timetable for EF5114
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